diff --git a/module2/exo5/exo5_en.ipynb b/module2/exo5/exo5_en.ipynb index 6a0919d7ba4c9594341883f6d283db9ea050de72..fd81e04f20deb70030a84649502a7e4a60b79ea5 100644 --- a/module2/exo5/exo5_en.ipynb +++ b/module2/exo5/exo5_en.ipynb @@ -260,30 +260,30 @@ "" ], "text/plain": [ - " Date Count Temperature Pressure Malfunction\n", - "0 4/12/81 6 66 50 0\n", - "1 11/12/81 6 70 50 1\n", - "2 3/22/82 6 69 50 0\n", - "3 11/11/82 6 68 50 0\n", - "4 4/04/83 6 67 50 0\n", - "5 6/18/82 6 72 50 0\n", - "6 8/30/83 6 73 100 0\n", - "7 11/28/83 6 70 100 0\n", - "8 2/03/84 6 57 200 1\n", - "9 4/06/84 6 63 200 1\n", - "10 8/30/84 6 70 200 1\n", - "11 10/05/84 6 78 200 0\n", - "12 11/08/84 6 67 200 0\n", - "13 1/24/85 6 53 200 2\n", - "14 4/12/85 6 67 200 0\n", - "15 4/29/85 6 75 200 0\n", - "16 6/17/85 6 70 200 0\n", - "17 7/29/85 6 81 200 0\n", - "18 8/27/85 6 76 200 0\n", - "19 10/03/85 6 79 200 0\n", - "20 10/30/85 6 75 200 2\n", - "21 11/26/85 6 76 200 0\n", - "22 1/12/86 6 58 200 1" + " Date Count Temperature Pressure Malfunction\n", + "0 4/12/81 6 66 50 0\n", + "1 11/12/81 6 70 50 1\n", + "2 3/22/82 6 69 50 0\n", + "3 11/11/82 6 68 50 0\n", + "4 4/04/83 6 67 50 0\n", + "5 6/18/82 6 72 50 0\n", + "6 8/30/83 6 73 100 0\n", + "7 11/28/83 6 70 100 0\n", + "8 2/03/84 6 57 200 1\n", + "9 4/06/84 6 63 200 1\n", + "10 8/30/84 6 70 200 1\n", + "11 10/05/84 6 78 200 0\n", + "12 11/08/84 6 67 200 0\n", + "13 1/24/85 6 53 200 2\n", + "14 4/12/85 6 67 200 0\n", + "15 4/29/85 6 75 200 0\n", + "16 6/17/85 6 70 200 0\n", + "17 7/29/85 6 81 200 0\n", + "18 8/27/85 6 76 200 0\n", + "19 10/03/85 6 79 200 0\n", + "20 10/30/85 6 75 200 2\n", + "21 11/26/85 6 76 200 0\n", + "22 1/12/86 6 58 200 1" ] }, "execution_count": 1, @@ -313,122 +313,17 @@ "Flights without incidents do not provide any information\n", "on the influence of temperature or pressure on malfunction.\n", "We thus focus on the experiments in which at least one O-ring\n", - "was defective." + "was defective. --> this is stupid! so:" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, - "outputs": [ - { - "data": { - "text/html": [ - "
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DateCountTemperaturePressureMalfunction
111/12/81670501
82/03/846572001
94/06/846632001
108/30/846702001
131/24/856532002
2010/30/856752002
221/12/866582001
\n", - "
" - ], - "text/plain": [ - " Date Count Temperature Pressure Malfunction\n", - "1 11/12/81 6 70 50 1\n", - "8 2/03/84 6 57 200 1\n", - "9 4/06/84 6 63 200 1\n", - "10 8/30/84 6 70 200 1\n", - "13 1/24/85 6 53 200 2\n", - "20 10/30/85 6 75 200 2\n", - "22 1/12/86 6 58 200 1" - ] - }, - "execution_count": 2, - "metadata": {}, - "output_type": "execute_result" - } - ], + "outputs": [], "source": [ - "data = data[data.Malfunction>0]\n", - "data" + "#data = data[data.Malfunction>0]\n", + "#data" ] }, { @@ -449,7 +344,7 @@ "outputs": [ { "data": { - "image/png": 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" ] @@ -499,72 +394,19 @@ "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { - "data": { - "text/html": [ - "\n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "\n", - " \n", - "\n", - "
Generalized Linear Model Regression Results
Dep. Variable: Frequency No. Observations: 7
Model: GLM Df Residuals: 5
Model Family: Binomial Df Model: 1
Link Function: logit Scale: 1.0000
Method: IRLS Log-Likelihood: -2.5250
Date: Sat, 13 Apr 2019 Deviance: 0.22231
Time: 19:12:05 Pearson chi2: 0.236
No. Iterations: 4 Covariance Type: nonrobust
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coef std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]
Intercept -1.3895 7.828 -0.178 0.859 -16.732 13.953
Temperature 0.0014 0.122 0.012 0.991 -0.238 0.240
" - ], - "text/plain": [ - "\n", - "\"\"\"\n", - " Generalized Linear Model Regression Results \n", - "==============================================================================\n", - "Dep. Variable: Frequency No. Observations: 7\n", - "Model: GLM Df Residuals: 5\n", - "Model Family: Binomial Df Model: 1\n", - "Link Function: logit Scale: 1.0000\n", - "Method: IRLS Log-Likelihood: -2.5250\n", - "Date: Sat, 13 Apr 2019 Deviance: 0.22231\n", - "Time: 19:12:05 Pearson chi2: 0.236\n", - "No. Iterations: 4 Covariance Type: nonrobust\n", - "===============================================================================\n", - " coef std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]\n", - "-------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n", - "Intercept -1.3895 7.828 -0.178 0.859 -16.732 13.953\n", - "Temperature 0.0014 0.122 0.012 0.991 -0.238 0.240\n", - "===============================================================================\n", - "\"\"\"" - ] - }, - "execution_count": 4, - "metadata": {}, - "output_type": "execute_result" + "ename": "ImportError", + "evalue": "cannot import name 'factorial'", + "output_type": "error", + "traceback": [ + "\u001b[0;31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------\u001b[0m", + "\u001b[0;31mImportError\u001b[0m Traceback (most recent call last)", + "\u001b[0;32m\u001b[0m in \u001b[0;36m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;32m----> 1\u001b[0;31m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mstatsmodels\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mapi\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mas\u001b[0m \u001b[0msm\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0m\u001b[1;32m 2\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 3\u001b[0m \u001b[0mdata\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m[\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\"Success\"\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m]\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m=\u001b[0m\u001b[0mdata\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mCount\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m-\u001b[0m\u001b[0mdata\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mMalfunction\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 4\u001b[0m \u001b[0mdata\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m[\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\"Intercept\"\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m]\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m=\u001b[0m\u001b[0;36m1\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 5\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n", + "\u001b[0;32m/opt/conda/lib/python3.6/site-packages/statsmodels/api.py\u001b[0m in \u001b[0;36m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 14\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mfrom\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mrobust\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 15\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mfrom\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mrobust\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mrobust_linear_model\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mRLM\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;32m---> 16\u001b[0;31m from .discrete.discrete_model import (Poisson, Logit, Probit,\n\u001b[0m\u001b[1;32m 17\u001b[0m \u001b[0mMNLogit\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m,\u001b[0m \u001b[0mNegativeBinomial\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m,\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 18\u001b[0m \u001b[0mGeneralizedPoisson\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m,\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n", + "\u001b[0;32m/opt/conda/lib/python3.6/site-packages/statsmodels/discrete/discrete_model.py\u001b[0m in \u001b[0;36m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 43\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 44\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mfrom\u001b[0m \u001b[0mstatsmodels\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mbase\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0ml1_slsqp\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mfit_l1_slsqp\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;32m---> 45\u001b[0;31m \u001b[0;32mfrom\u001b[0m \u001b[0mstatsmodels\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mdistributions\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mgenpoisson_p\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0m\u001b[1;32m 46\u001b[0m \u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 47\u001b[0m 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\u001b[0mscipy\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mstats\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mrv_continuous\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n\u001b[1;32m 9\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mimport\u001b[0m \u001b[0mscipy\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m.\u001b[0m\u001b[0mspecial\u001b[0m \u001b[0;32mas\u001b[0m \u001b[0mspecial\u001b[0m\u001b[0;34m\u001b[0m\u001b[0m\n", + "\u001b[0;31mImportError\u001b[0m: cannot import name 'factorial'" + ] } ], "source": [ @@ -601,22 +443,9 @@ }, { "cell_type": "code", - "execution_count": 5, + "execution_count": null, "metadata": {}, - "outputs": [ - { - "data": { - "image/png": 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\n", - "text/plain": [ - "
" - ] - }, - "metadata": { - "needs_background": "light" - }, - "output_type": "display_data" - } - ], + "outputs": [], "source": [ "%matplotlib inline\n", "data_pred = pd.DataFrame({'Temperature': np.linspace(start=30, stop=90, num=121), 'Intercept': 1})\n", @@ -681,6 +510,13 @@ "from all angles in order to to explain what's wrong." ] }, + { + "cell_type": "markdown", + "metadata": {}, + "source": [ + "### My Analysis" + ] + }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, @@ -706,7 +542,7 @@ "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython3", - "version": "3.7.3" + "version": "3.6.4" } }, "nbformat": 4,