"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"data.plot(x=\"Period\",y=\"Concentration\")\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Décomposition de la concentration"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Sur le graphique, nous aperçevons une courbe croissante avec de faible oscilliations. Cette courbe se prête bien à une décompostion en saisonière."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 17,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"image/png": 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\n",
"text/plain": [
"
"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"from statsmodels.tsa.seasonal import seasonal_decompose\n",
"# freq = 52 car 52 semaines par an\n",
"result = seasonal_decompose(data['Concentration'],model=\"additive\", freq=52)\n",
"result.plot()\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"La tendance globale (Trend) de la concentration moyenne de C02 dans l'atmosphère est croissante.\n",
"\n",
"Les oscillations semblent bien être saisonières (Seasonal).\n",
"\n",
"**Nous noterons cependant que le bruit résiduel (Residual) est du même ordre que les oscillations saisonnières**"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Modélisation du phénomène"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Au regard de la décomposition précédente, nous modéliserons la variation de la concentration comme la somme d'une fonction affine croissante et d'une fonction périodique."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Estimation de la fonction linéaire"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Pour estimer notre fonction affine, nous allons utiliser un modlèle linéaire génralisé : Concentration ~ 1 + Temps"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 37,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"
\n",
"
Generalized Linear Model Regression Results
\n",
"
\n",
"
Dep. Variable:
Concentration
No. Observations:
3156
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Model:
GLM
Df Residuals:
3154
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Model Family:
Gaussian
Df Model:
1
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Link Function:
identity
Scale:
18.461
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Method:
IRLS
Log-Likelihood:
-9078.1
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Date:
Tue, 07 Apr 2020
Deviance:
58226.
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Time:
13:14:18
Pearson chi2:
5.82e+04
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
No. Iterations:
3
Covariance Type:
nonrobust
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
coef
std err
z
P>|z|
[0.025
0.975]
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Intercept
324.5375
0.114
2845.850
0.000
324.314
324.761
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
Timestamp
5e-09
1.37e-11
364.652
0.000
4.97e-09
5.03e-09
\n",
"
\n",
"
"
],
"text/plain": [
"\n",
"\"\"\"\n",
" Generalized Linear Model Regression Results \n",
"==============================================================================\n",
"Dep. Variable: Concentration No. Observations: 3156\n",
"Model: GLM Df Residuals: 3154\n",
"Model Family: Gaussian Df Model: 1\n",
"Link Function: identity Scale: 18.461\n",
"Method: IRLS Log-Likelihood: -9078.1\n",
"Date: Tue, 07 Apr 2020 Deviance: 58226.\n",
"Time: 13:14:18 Pearson chi2: 5.82e+04\n",
"No. Iterations: 3 Covariance Type: nonrobust\n",
"==============================================================================\n",
" coef std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]\n",
"------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n",
"Intercept 324.5375 0.114 2845.850 0.000 324.314 324.761\n",
"Timestamp 5e-09 1.37e-11 364.652 0.000 4.97e-09 5.03e-09\n",
"==============================================================================\n",
"\"\"\""
]
},
"execution_count": 37,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
}
],
"source": [
"data[\"Intercept\"]=1\n",
"linmodel = sm.GLM(data['Concentration'],data[['Intercept','Timestamp']]).fit()\n",
"linmodel.summary()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 42,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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/NYdBGxYTmpdzfuFGjeCNN1wQtG/SRK+U8k2DBzud3ME2XPKzy3rwXOy97K9Znz7bUnjiq7dpmFHMCJ2EBFi+vHyx+jhN9Eop35SV5fQp2xo0Z1ziUNY3aU3rP3fz+qcT6bjvp6ILu3HNWF+jiV4p5RvK8Q3Xv0JrMKnHAN5v14vaWZk897/XuWPrlwSaYv4iqKBTGZSVJnqllPeVMcnnSgBJHXrzcvd+ZFapxsDvlvCP1fOKHi5pr4JOZVBWmuiVUt5XhjVdv2nahnGJQ9lRP4puezYzZsUMLjlcyqRmoaHw1lt+N6qmNJrolVKel5QEjzxSpikMUmvW59m4QXx+aXcij/7Jmx9PoNfOtZS4BEgl6o8viiZ6pZRnJSXBgAFOJ99sI7zS7e+82eVWBMOjX89lyPqPCM097aZA/YcmeqWUZw0d6lSSN8DSlt148siFpHdvyfU/reL/kt+mccYhxyqIji5bnH5EE71Syv3spxZ2Isn/XK8ZYxOHsq5ZW5pIFlPnPUnXP350vN3oaNi2rQwB+xdN9Eop92rVCrZvd+qUo6FhvNK9H+916E3N7BM8vWwqjfolOJbkK3l/fFE00Sul3Ccx0akknycBvN+uFy9d1Z9joWH0/34pj66eS+2sTFL6J7gxUP+miV4p5T5OLNT9bWQrxiYO5aeIC+m6dytjVszgskN7nGtv7lznylcSmuiVUl6VVqMez8Xey2fRPWl0/CBTFz9H7x1rSh4uWSAgwNZV44dTC7uSJnqllGs1bgxpaaUWywoMZmbnW3ij6+3ki/DI6nkM+/ZDquZmO96Wnyz1526a6JVSrlOtGpw6VWIRAyxrcQUT4gfxR+0LuHbHGkavnEWT4wedb0+TvEM00SulXGPEiFKT/K7wJoxLHMLqqA5ccmgv897/P678fWvZ2qtSpWznVUKa6JVSZZeY6NAN12NVqjO5213MibmR6qdPMe7LN+n3/ecEFTe7ZGlEYNassp1bCZWa6EUkFFgFVLHKLzLGjBGR9sCbQCiQC4wwxqy3zhkFDALygIeNMcvcFL9SylscSPJ5EsDCNom82ONujlSryd83/49/fT2XuqeOO99eUJDfrunqbo5c0WcD8caYTBEJBlaLyFJgPDDOGLNURHoDE4FYEYkG+gKtgEbAchG5xBiT56bXoJTyhlKS/MbGlzE2cSg/XnAxnf7YxpwFT9H64K9layshAdq1K9OKU8qBRG+MMUCm9TDY2oy11bSO1wIKbrP3AeYbY7KB30RkN9AZWOvCuJVSPurPsHCej72Hxa3iuCDjMK99OpEbf1rl2HDJwgIDYcgQ23quKSkujrTycKiPXkQCgU3AxcBUY8y3IvIPYJmITAICgCut4o2BdXanp1rHlFIVWSldNdmBQczqeBNTrryT3IBAHvxmPiPWLaRajhPDJQuI6NW7C4lxYl4IEakNfAw8BAwBvjLGfCgidwBDjDGJIjIVWGuMmWudMwv43BjzYaG6hlh1EBERETN//nyXvCBXyczMJCwszNthnEfjcp6vxlah4tq5EzIyiixvDGw+Hcb7mQ04mB9Ch5AM7go7SIPAnLIHUb++rS++tLh8hLdii4uL22SM6VhqQWOMUxswBngMOMbZXxQCHLf2RwGj7MovA64oqc6YmBjja5KTk70dQpE0Luf5amwVKi5bPj9v21U30gy4fZxpNnKJSRj0hlkV1b7Ysg5vw4c7HpeP8FZswEbjQN52ZNRNfSDHGHNURKoCicAL2PrkewIpQDywyzrlU2CeiLyM7WZsC2C9I7+dlFIVw/GQarzerS9vx/yNqrnZPLliBnd/91+C88s45kJnnHQrR/roGwJzrH76AGCBMWaJiBwFJotIEJCF1Q1jjNkmIguA7diGXT5gdMSNUn4hH2FRmwQm9hxIerVa3Ln1Sx5b9S71Th4re6UhIa4LUBXJkVE3W4EORRxfDcQUc84EYEK5o1NKeUdSEtx3H5w+u0zf9w0vYWziMLY0uoTL9/3E7EXjaPvn7vK3NXt2+etQJdJvxiqlznXkCPTvf+bhwep1eKHnQD5sk0iDjHRe+WwSN21PKdtwSXuhofDWW/rFJw/QRK+UOteePQCcDgji7Y5/47Ur+5ITGMzwtQt5YN0Cwk6XPJ9NqbQ/3uM00Sulzh0jP2kSyRd25On4wfwaHknC7vU8uWImUUf3ezdGVWaa6JWq7OyS/G91GvHKsUi23D6WC9P/4J0FTxH723euaysw0HV1KYdpoleqsluxgsyQqrx+xZ3M7tSHwJwARq+cxcBNnxGSn+vatubMcW19yiGa6JWqxPJbtebjVvE8H3sPh8LqctsPX9I9NoqbNnzsmgaaNYPff9cZJ71ME71SlcmIETBtGgBbLmjB2MShfN/4Utql7WDGR8/QYf9OUuInua4968au8i5N9Er5q6QkGDoUTpw45/CharV5sefdLGyTSPiJY7z431e49ceVBKCjYfyVJnql/FFSEgwYcM5QxpyAQOZcfgOTu/+drKAQ7l//MQ99M58a5R0uWZzhw91Tr3KaJnql/NEjj5yT5FdFdWBc4hB+CW9C7C8beWrFDC78K62ECsogMBDy8s6dQ175BE30SvmLESNgxgxbsrXsrX0BT8cPZnmLrkQdSWPWonEk/LLB9W3Pnas3Wn2YJnql/IHdTVaAE8GhTL3iDt7qdDPBeTk8kfw29276hCp5Lhwuqeu3Vhia6JXyB1aSN8Cnl/Xk2bj7OFAjnFt+XMnIr94hIvOI69vUFaAqDE30SvmJHxtcyNirh7IxshVt9u/ijU+eI2bfz+5pLDzcPfUqt9BEr1QFl56ZzaReDzC/XS/qnjzOC0snc/vW5e4dLjl5svvqVi6niV6piqhxY3L3/8ncDr15+ar+nGxzNfdt/JSH17xPrewTpZ9fHgkJ2idfwWiiV6qiadyYNcH1GXfvaHbWb8ZVv33HUytm0iL9D/e2q8MmKyxN9EpVBElJMHo0fxzNYkLcffyvZTeaHP2T6R89wzW71pV/EZDS6BzyFZomeqV8XWIip75azbSutzH91lsIMIbHv5rDoA2LCc3LcX/71au7vw3lVprolfJhZsQIluw7zXP3TyOtZgP+tj2FUSlv0zAj3XNBTJ/uubaUWwR4OwClVCGJiSDC9gYXcufRpjzUZyS1T2WwIGkkr302yXNJPixMv/HqJ/SKXilfUq0af5kgXrp6OPPaX0utrEwm/G8Kfbd+QaDxwBeUEhIgJkb75P2MJnqlfERu6zbMuzSel67qT2aVatz93X/55+ok9w+XLJCQAMuXQ0qKZ9pTHqOJXilvskbTrDU1GZcwlJ8bNOfKPVsYs2IGLQ/vdX/7euVeKWiiV8pbjhxh3/B/8mz8ffz30qtofOwAbyx+jut2rHH/cEmA6GhPtKJ8gCZ6pbwgKyePT348ztL7bZOR/fPruQxd/xGhuac9E0CjRrBtm2faUl6no26U8pQRIzBBQSxt2Y2Eh+fw8cn6JOxez4qZw3nkm/nuTfJhYbZphZs1s42k2bfPfW0pn1NqoheRUBFZLyJbRGSbiIyze+4hEdlhHZ9od3yUiOy2nuvlruCV8glJSRAVBQEBtp9JSbb54YOCbMk1KAhatWLHws/pd9t4ht/8f9TIPskTtfYy9dOJNM445L7YAgNtS/plZNimFd6zR4dLVkKOdN1kA/HGmEwRCQZWi8hSoCrQB2hrjMkWkQYAIhIN9AVaAY2A5SJyiTEmr5j6laq4kpJs87+cPGl7vHcv3H33OXO1HwsK5ZWG3Xnv+uupkX2Cp5dN5a4ty1j94sRiKnURvdGqLKUmemOMATKth8HWZoDhwPPGmGyr3EGrTB9gvnX8NxHZDXQG1ro4dqW8b/Tos0m+gJXk8ySA+W2vYVKPARwLDaPf5qU8+nUSdbIy3B+XLsyt7Ihx4Le+iAQCm4CLganGmJEishn4BLgWyAIeM8ZsEJEpwDpjzFzr3FnAUmPMokJ1DgGGAERERMTMnz/fhS+r/DIzMwkLC/N2GOfRuJzn1tg2bSry8I7TVUk6EcHvuaG0DD5Jv7ADNA3KPjeuyEjCUlPdE1dMTJlP9dV/S1+NC7wXW1xc3CZjTMdSCxpjHN6A2kAy0Br4EXgNEGxX7L9Z+1OB/nbnzAJuLanemJgY42uSk5O9HUKRNC7nuTU2WwfJmW1fjXrmwRsfN81GLjFXDJ9tPr30KpNfqEzBljxpUpHHXbKVg6/+W/pqXMZ4LzZgo3Egdzs1vNIYc1REUrBdxacCH1mNrReRfKCedbyJ3WmRQJoz7Sjls5KS4JFHIP3c+WayAoN5q/PNTO16B3kBATy8Zh7D131I1dzsYipyIx+96lXeU2qiF5H6QI6V5KsCicAL2Prt44EUEbkECAEOA58C80TkZWw3Y1sA690Uv1Kek5QEAwdC3tlxBQb4okVXnokfzB+1L+DaHWsYnTybJscOeCfGoCB4803vtK18liNX9A2BOVY/fQCwwBizRERCgNki8iNwGhhoXd1vE5EFwHYgF3jA6IgbVRFZ0xPw++/QtKntKt4uye8Oj2RcwhC+bn45lxzaS9L80XTbu8WzMTZqBMHBZ2OcMEGHT6rzODLqZivQoYjjp4H+xZwzAZhQ7uiU8paihk1ajlWpzuRud/Hu5TdQLSeLMcun0//7zwnO9+D1jC7rp5ygUyAoVZQihk3mSQAL2yTyYo+7OVKtJn23LOOxVe8Rfuq4Z2PT8fHKSZrolSpg31VTKJluanwpYxOG8kPDFnRM3cachWNofeAXz8eo4+NVGWiiVwpsSb7/+T2RB8Lq8nzPe/i4dTwRGem8+tkk+mxP8czskvZEYNgw7apRZaKJXik4L8lnBwYxu2MfXr+yL7kBQTzwzQeMWLeQ6jlZno1Lu2mUC2iiVyop6cyuAVZe1Imn4+9nT91GXL1zLf9JnkWzo396Pi6dL165iCZ6pYYNA+CXuo15Ov5+Ui7qyEXpf/DuB0/SY8/33okpOlrni1cuo4leVU6NG0Oa7QvbGSFVeT32XmZ37EPV3Gz+s2ImA79b4tnhkqDdNMptNNGrysdK8vkIH7aO54We95BevRZ3bP2Sx1a9R/2TR70doVIupYleVT5paWxueAljEoeypVFLOuz7mVkfjqfdn7u8F9Pcud5rW/k9TfTK/23eDHFxABysXpuJvR9hUZurqZ95hJeXvMRN21IIwIPdJtWrQ716tv1mzXTaAuV2umas8i+Fl/WrVg3y8jgdEMSMzjcTf/8MPomOZdi6hSTPHMot25I9m+SDg2H6dNuSfjExurSf8gi9olf+IykJBgw4e1PTmp9ma3Z1xt83hV/DI4nfvZ4nV75F8788NHN2dDScOKGTjimv0kSv/MegQeeMXPmtTiOejh/MyuNNaC77eHvhWOJ+3ei5eBISYPlyz7WnVDE00auKrYj5aTJDqjLlijuY1ekmQnJzuKP6QZ558QFC8nPdG0ujRrBvn3vbUKoMtI9eVVyJibapC/buBWMwwMfRscQPfpM3u97O37Z/RfLMofSudsS9ST4w0DbZmCZ55aP0il5VTCNGwIoVZx7+EHERYxOHsikymnZpO5n+8QQ67N8J2FbAcYvhw3WSMVUhaKJXFdOMGQAcrlaLF3vczYK2VxN+8hgTP3+V235Y4d6RNDqTpKpgNNGriqNaNTh1CoCcgEDmdOzD5G53cSo4lMEbFvPQmvnUPH2ylErKSK/eVQWmiV5VDHJ2BvhVUR0Yn3A/u+s1pcevm3hqxUwuPpLq2vYCAiA/X5fsU35BE73yTSNG2Lpn7Bbj/r1WBE/HD+bLS66g2V9pvLVoPAm/rHfPIiB5up698h+a6JXvGTECpk078/BkcBXe6Ho7MzrfQlB+Ho9/NYfBGz6mSp6bh0sq5Sc00SvfYyV5A3x6WQ+ei7uPP2vU4+YfVzLyqzlckJnu3fiUqmA00Svvs7vJWmBbg+aMTRzGhiataP3nbqZ88gId9/3kmXh0AW7lZzTRK+8KCYGcnDMPj1StyaSrBvB++17UOZXB80tf4/YflhNo8t0Xg954VX5OE73yrKQkeOQRSD+3+yVXApjboTcvX9WfEyFVuXfjpzyy5n1qZZ9wf0x641X5OU30ynMCuM8iAAAW4klEQVSSkmxTFhTyTdO2jEscwo76UXTf8z1jls+gRfofnokpIcEz7SjlRaUmehEJBVYBVazyi4wxY+yefwx4EahvjDlsHRsFDALygIeNMcvcELuqaAol+T9qNuDZ+EEsbdmNyKN/Mv2jZ7hm1zr3DJcsis4uqSoJR67os4F4Y0ymiAQDq0VkqTFmnYg0Aa4Gfi8oLCLRQF+gFdAIWC4ilxhj9O/jyqiI8fCngqowreutTO98KwHG8K9V73H/ho8JzT3t/nh0AW5VCZWa6I0xBsi0HgZbW8H/lleAfwOf2J3SB5hvjMkGfhOR3UBnYK2rglYVhLUIdwEDfN6yGxPiB5FWswE3bv+KUSlv0yjjsGfiiY72TDtK+RiH+uhFJBDYBFwMTDXGfCsifwP2GWO2iJzzx3ZjYJ3d41TrmKpMEhPPSfI/12vG2MShrGvWlssO/Morn71El9RtnosnOhq2ebA9pXyIGCf+lBWR2sDHwCPATOAaY8wxEdkDdDTGHBaRqcBaY8xc65xZwOfGmA8L1TUEGAIQERERM3/+fFe8HpfJzMwkLCzM22Gcx6fjSkuDjIxzj+cH8NGJ+iRn1aa65HFL9cPEhh4lwBMd8c2bQ926vv2eaVwO89W4wHuxxcXFbTLGdCy1oDHGqQ0YAzwJHAT2WFsutn76C4BRwCi78suAK0qqMyYmxvia5ORkb4dQJJ+N65VXjLH1gBsDJlcCzLvtrzPtHp5nmj/+iXkqcaj5KzTsnDJu3RISzsbmq++ZxuUUX43LGO/FBmw0DuRtR0bd1AdyjDFHRaQqkAi8YIxpYFdmD2ev6D8F5onIy9huxrYA1jv060lVTImJcN11Zx6ua9KasYlD+blBc67Yu4Uxy2dw6eG9nolFv/Sk1Hkc6aNvCMyx+ukDgAXGmCXFFTbGbBORBdgW9skFHjA64sb/1KkDR4+efXzddaTVqMezcfex5LIeND52kDcWP8d1O9Z4Zrjk3LnQr58nWlKqwnFk1M1WoEMpZaIKPZ4ATChXZMp3FZq2ICsohE9OhLP0/jcxCI+snsewbz+kam62+2Jo1sy2IHjTpjBhgiZ5pUqg34xVpUtKgtGjbYm1WrUzSd4A/7vkSp6JH8S+k/Xp/ctq/i95FpHHD7k/pj173N+GUn5CE70qWVIS3Hvv2Sv4E7a5Z3bUa8a4hCF8E9WOlof2MLLW7wz/5HkvBqqUKk6AtwNQPm7QoHO6aY5Vqc7YhCH0vvc1tkVcyPgvpvHftx/mshA3rdValPBwz7WllB/QK3p1rsI3WS15EsAHba/mxR53cyw0jLu2LONfX8+l7qnjno0vOBgmT/Zsm0pVcJroK7PERFix4uzjgnnZC9nY+DLGJA5l2wUX0/n3HxizYgatDv7mmRgTEmD3br3xqlQ5aKKvTAon9sIKJfk/w8J5LvZePmkVS8Pjh3j9kxe44eev3TdcMjDQ9jMvT8fDK+VCmugri2K6ZIqSFRjMrE43MfWKO8gNCOShb+YzfN1CquW4cbhkYCDMmaNX60q5gSb6yiAx0aEkb4DlF3fm6fj7+b1OQ67dsYbRybNpcuyA+2IT0S4ZpdxME31lUFJ3jWV3eCTjEobwdfPLaXF4L3Pnj6b73i3ujWv4cO2aUcoDNNFXcsdDqjG5+9+Zc/kNVM3J4qnlMxjw/X8JznfzrBUJCZrklfIQTfT+qLSbrkA+wsK2ibzY427Sq9Wi75Yv+NfX71Hv5DH3xaXdNEp5hSZ6f2A/RUFwMJwueUm+TY0uZVziELY2vISY1O28vXAsbQ784t4YtZtGKa/RRF/RJSWdu+h2CUn+YPU6PB97Lx+1jiciI51XP5tEn+0p7p1dUgSGDdMkr5QXaaKvSJKS4MABiItz6rTswCBmd+zDlCvuJCcwmOFrF/Lg2g+onpPlnjirV4fMzNLLKaU8QhO9LxsxAmbMsH2BSMS2dtKkSU5VsfLCjoxPGMKeuo1I3LWO/6ycRdTR/W4KGNt4+OnT3Ve/Usppmuh91YgRMG3a2cdOrO0L8GudRjydcD/JF3XiwvQ/eGfBU8T+9p2Lg7Q0a3b2p95oVcrnaKL3VfZJ3gkZIVWZcmVfZnf8G1Vyc/jPyre4e9MSQvJzXRygnT17ICVF54hXykdpovcl9qNnnJSP8FHrOF7oeQ+Hwupy2w9f8u+v5tDghGPTHpRZSIh761dKlZsmem+wT+gF48qffRa2by9TdVsuaMGYq4eyudGltE/7mZkfPUP7/TtdHHQxZs/2TDtKqTLTRO9pSUlw331nh0Hu3Xvu8EgnHKpWm4k9B7Kw7dXUzzzCS0te5uZtyQTgXH++Q2rXhilTzv8Fpf3xSvk8TfSeYH8FL1LknO/OOB0QxJyYG3mtW1+ygkIY8u2HPPTNfGqcPuWigCk+Tk3sSlU4mujdrVWrc7tknBw9U9jW09UZf9/r/BrehLhfNvDkiplc+FdaOYMswnvvub5OpZRXaKJ3p8TEMve7F7andkOeiR/M8mNNaC77mL1wLPG/bix7hfbzzoB2ySjlxzTRu5p9N005r94BTgSHMuWKO5nV6SaC83K4o/pBnp70AFXyyjlcsnC3jCZ2pfyWJnpHFV6hSQTi423jxwuWvouIgDTXdKMYYHF0LM/H3suBGuHc8sMKnvjqHbaPG13+JF+9uktiVEpVDJroHVHUMnzGnDsVcF6ey5L8DxEXMTZxKJsio2m7fyfTFj/L5Wk7ACh3R5CITlGgVCWjib4ojRvDo486PXlYeR2uVotJPe7mg7ZXE37yGBM/f5XbfljhuuGS4eEwebJ20yhVyZSa6EUkFFgFVLHKLzLGjBGRF4EbgdPAL8C9xpij1jmjgEFAHvCwMWaZm+Ivv8Lj2r0gJyCQ9zpczyvd/86p4FAGbfiEh9e8T83TJ8tfeVAQ5OSUvx6lVIXlyBV9NhBvjMkUkWBgtYgsBb4ERhljckXkBWAUMFJEooG+QCugEbBcRC4xxrh5bToHFdUN40Wrm7VjXOIQdtVrRo9fN/HUyplcnJ7qugbeecd1dSmlKqRSE70xxgAFk4sHW5sxxnxhV2wdcJu13weYb4zJBn4Tkd1AZ2Cty6Iuq2rV4JQLv1RUDn/UiuCZuEEsa3klTf/az1uLxpPwy3rnFgEJDDx7I3jIEOjWTYdJKqXO41AfvYgEApuAi4GpxphvCxW5D/jA2m+MLfEXSLWOeV5R87l72cngKkzrejvTO99CUH4ej381h0EbFhOa52T3SnFL82liV0oVIsaJ5CcitYGPgYeMMT9ax0YDHYFbjDFGRKYCa40xc63nZwGfG2M+LFTXEGAIQERERMz8+fPL90qOHIF9+2x97SEhUKUKZGSUubrMyEjCUl3XhWIMfJtdgwUnGnAkP5iuVY5xZ/VD1Al0bqhkZmQkYdnZtit2H5KZmUlYWJi3wyiSr8amcTnHV+MC78UWFxe3yRjTsdSCxhinNmAM8Ji1PxBbl0w1u+dHYeu7L3i8DLiipDpjYmJMucyda0xAgDG2fOqSLXnSJJfV9WOD5ub2vz9vmo1cYq4f+KrZ0Pgy5+sJDzfGGJOcnFy+98pNfDUuY3w3No3LOb4alzHeiw3YaBzI246MuqkP5BhjjopIVSAReEFErgVGAj2NMfbDQz4F5onIy9huxrYA1jv066msBg8u90Rh7nCkak1euqo/77frRe2sTJ773+vcsfVLAo2TsYrYhkUqpVQZONJH3xCYY/XTBwALjDFLrJusVYAvRQRgnTFmmDFmm4gswPbdnlzgAePuETdZblrkuoxyJYCkDr15uXs/MqtUY+B3S/jH6nnUyj7hfGVhYfDmm9r3rpQqM0dG3WwFOhRx/OISzpkATChfaBXTN03bMi5xCDvqR9Ftz2bGrJjBJYedWDEqOhq2bXNfgEqpSqfifzM2KcnbEQCQWrM+z8YN4vNLuxN59E/e/GgCvXatdW64ZEICLF/urhCVUpVUxU/0o0d7tflTQVV4s8utvNnlVgTDv1a9x/0bPiY018Fv2hY3TFIppVyk4if6Miyk7QoG+LxlN56NG8S+Wg244adV/F/ybBplHC7+pMBA20/7LzlpkldKuVnFT/RNm9rWXfWgn+s1Y2ziUNY1a8tlB37l5SUv0SW1lH71wECYM0dvqiqlPK7iJ/oJE2xXxiddMAFYKY6GhvFy9/7M7XAdNbNP8Myyqdy1ZVnRwyXDw20jZnQ6AqWUl1X8RF+QPPv3d1sTeRLAvHa9ePmq/hwLDaP/90t5dPVcamdZUwCFhJw7+2W1ajodsFLKZwR4OwCX6NfPdlPTDb6NbMUNA1/lyV4P0PLwXv57cg3jdy2ldvYJaNYM5s6F2bNt+yK2nzNmaJJXSvmMin9FX+CNN2DaNJdVl54XxIP3v8SSui1pfOwgb6x+i+uG3Yb0HwVTXjj/BE3sSikf5T+JHmz94unp5aoiK7gKMxPv4fWjFyENAnmk50UM63ktVUPudVGQSinlWf6V6CdPhoEDbcMXnWSAZQ+N5ZnGV5H61yk61g/k1Xt6EFmnmuvjVEopD/KPPvoC/frZhjCGh589Fh4OjRqdWy462tanb41r39kgiv7/eodh1TpSPSSIefd34cEOoZrklVJ+wb+u6MGW7B3sLz/20mReXb6Td9fupXpIIOOuaUm/Lk0JCgwg5Q83x6mUUh7if4neAXn5hgUb/+DFZTv46+Rp7urclMeuaUnd6iHeDk0ppVyu0iX6jXuOMPazbfy47zidouow5sbOtG5cy9thKaWU21SaRP/nsSyeX/oTizencUHNUCb3bc/f2jXCmktfKaX8lt8n+uzcPGat/o0pK3eTm294MO5iRsRdRLUQv3/pSikF+HGiN8aw4qeDPP3f7exNP8k10RH85/pomobrSBqlVOXil4l+98FMxi/Zzqqdh7i4QRjvDerMVS3qezsspZTyCr9K9Mezcnh9xS7eXrOHqiGBPHVDNAOuaEZwoH99XUAppZzhN4n+21/TeWDe96SfyObOjk14rFdL6oVV8XZYSinldX6T6JvXq85lDWvw716daBOpwyWVUqqA3yT6BjVDeW9QF2+HoZRSPkc7r5VSys9poldKKT+niV4ppfycJnqllPJzmuiVUsrPaaJXSik/p4leKaX8nCZ6pZTyc2KM8XYMiMghYK+34yikHnDY20EUQeNynq/GpnE5x1fjAu/F1swYU+qMjT6R6H2RiGw0xnT0dhyFaVzO89XYNC7n+Gpc4NuxgXbdKKWU39NEr5RSfk4TffFmeDuAYmhczvPV2DQu5/hqXODbsWkfvVJK+Tu9oldKKT9XqRO9iNQVkS9FZJf1s04RZZqISLKI/CQi20TkEbvnxorIPhHZbG29yxnPtSKyQ0R2i8gTRTwvIvKa9fxWEbnc0XPdHFc/K56tIvKNiLSze26PiPxgvT8bPRxXrIgcs/v3ecrRc90c1+N2Mf0oInkiUtd6zp3v12wROSgiPxbzvLc+X6XF5ZXPl4OxeeUz5jRjTKXdgInAE9b+E8ALRZRpCFxu7dcAdgLR1uOxwGMuiiUQ+AW4EAgBthS0Y1emN7AUEKAr8K2j57o5riuBOtb+dQVxWY/3APXc8G/nSFyxwJKynOvOuAqVvxFY6e73y6q7B3A58GMxz3v88+VgXB7/fDkRm8c/Y2XZKvUVPdAHmGPtzwFuKlzAGLPfGPOdtZ8B/AQ0dkMsnYHdxphfjTGngflWfIXjfdfYrANqi0hDB891W1zGmG+MMX9ZD9cBkS5qu1xxuelcV9d9F/C+i9oukTFmFXCkhCLe+HyVGpeXPl8FbZf2nhXHre+Zsyp7oo8wxuwHW0IHGpRUWESigA7At3aHH7T+pJxdVNePExoDf9g9TuX8XyjFlXHkXHfGZW8QtqvCAgb4QkQ2icgQF8XkTFxXiMgWEVkqIq2cPNedcSEi1YBrgQ/tDrvr/XKENz5fzvLU58sZnv6MOc1v1owtjogsBy4o4qnRTtYThu0/5D+MMcetw9OAp7F92J4GXgLuK2uoRRwrPCSquDKOnFtWDtctInHY/iN2tzvczRiTJiINgC9F5GfrKskTcX2H7Svimdb9k8VACwfPdWdcBW4E1hhj7K8Y3fV+OcIbny+Hefjz5ShvfMac5vdX9MaYRGNM6yK2T4AD1p+mWD8PFlWHiARjS/JJxpiP7Oo+YIzJM8bkAzOx/blWVqlAE7vHkUCag2UcOdedcSEibYG3gD7GmPSC48aYNOvnQeBjyvceORWXMea4MSbT2v8cCBaReo6c68647PSlULeNG98vR3jj8+UQL3y+HOKlz5jzvHVzwBc24EXOvRk7sYgyArwLvFrEcw3t9v8JzC9HLEHAr0Bzzt68aVWozPWce7NsvaPnujmupsBu4MpCx6sDNez2vwGu9WBcF3D2uyKdgd+t986r75dVrha2vt/qnni/7NqIovgbix7/fDkYl8c/X07E5vHPWJleg7ca9oUNCAdWALusn3Wt442Az6397tj+5NoKbLa23tZz7wE/WM99il3iL2M8vbGN6vkFGG0dGwYMs/YFmGo9/wPQsaRzXfg+lRbXW8Bfdu/PRuv4hdYHfAuwzQtxPWi1uwXbTbwrSzrXU3FZj++h0IWBB96v94H9QA62K85BPvL5Ki0ur3y+HIzNK58xZzf9ZqxSSvk5v++jV0qpyk4TvVJK+TlN9Eop5ec00SullJ/TRK+UUm5S2qRohcr2EJHvRCRXRG4r9NxAsU2+uEtEBjodh466URWNiBQMiwXbOOY84JD1+KQx5ko3tRuFbfjcPHfUr/yPiPQAMrHNIdS6lLJRQE3gMeBTY8wi63hdYCPQEdtQ701AjDk7/0+p9IpeVTjGmHRjTHtjTHvgTeCVgsfuSvKWKODvbqxf+RlTxKRoInKRiPzPmp/naxG51Cq7xxizFcgvVE0v4EtjzBEruX+JbY4kh2miV35FRDKtn7Ei8pWILBCRnSLyvDWv+Xpr/vKLrHL1ReRDEdlgbd2s4z3t5hj/XkRqAM8DV1nH/ikiUdZ/1O+s7Uon235HRN606tgpIjd4511THjYDeMgYE4Pt6v2NUsqXe4I0v5/UTFVq7YDLsF1R/Qq8ZYzpLLbFYx4C/gFMxvYXwWoRaQoss855DHjAGLPGmtAuC9s0GY8ZY26AM7NPXm2MyRKRFti+RdnRibbB9ldCT+AiIFlELjbGZLnvLVHeZH2WrgQWipyZ96xKaacVccypPndN9MqfbTDWNNQi8gvwhXX8ByDO2k8Eou3+09W0rt7XAC+LSBLwkTEm1a5MgWBgioi0x3af4BIn2wZYYGyT4u0SkV+BS7F9zV/5pwDgqNXt6KhUbAucFIgEUpxtVCl/lW23n2/3OJ+zFzkBwBV2ffyNjTEZxpjngcFAVWBdQT9qIf8EDmC7eu+IbfIqZ9qG86/MdHSEHzO2Kc5/E5Hb4czyje1KOW0ZcI2I1LHWvLjGOuYwTfSqsvsC28RUAFhX54jIRcaYH4wxL2Ab8XApkIFtOckCtYD91hX5AGzLxznrdhEJsPrtLwR2lO1lKF8kIu8Da4GWIpIqIoOAfsAgESmYjK2PVbaTiKQCtwPTRWQbgLGtV/A0sMHaxptz1zAolXbdqMruYWCqiGzF9v9hFbbZCf9hLXSRB2zHNn1vPpBr/Qd9B9tNtA+tq7Nk4EQZ2t8BfAVEYJsRUfvn/Ygx5q5injpv1IwxZgPFLJNojJkNzC5rHDqOXikvEZF3sC0svcjbsSj/pl03Sinl5/SKXiml/Jxe0SullJ/TRK+UUn5OE71SSvk5TfRKKeXnNNErpZSf00SvlFJ+7v8BjmcopiZV2s0AAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n",
"text/plain": [
""
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"data_pred = pd.DataFrame({'Timestamp': np.linspace(start=data[\"Timestamp\"][0], stop=data[\"Timestamp\"][len(data[\"Timestamp\"])-1], num=50), 'Intercept': 1})\n",
"data_pred['Concentration'] = linmodel.predict(data_pred)\n",
"data_pred.plot(x=\"Timestamp\",y=\"Concentration\",kind=\"line\")\n",
"plt.scatter(x=data[\"Timestamp\"],y=data[\"Concentration\"],color=\"red\")\n",
"plt.grid(True)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Prédiction en 2050"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Nous allons contruire une fonction pour prédire la concentration à une date donnée."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 61,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"2050-06-04 12:00:00 1.269077e+10\n",
"dtype: float64"
]
},
"execution_count": 61,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
}
],
"source": [
"def predict(year=2050,month=6,day=4,hour=12,minute=0,second=0):\n",
" datetime = pd.Timestamp(year=year,month=month,day=day,hour=hour,minute=minute,second=second)\n",
" timestamp = datetime.value\n",
" date_pred = pd.DataFrame({'Timestamp':[timestamp],'Intercept':1},index=[datetime])\n",
" return linmodel.predict(date_pred)\n",
"predict()"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"La concentration de C02 de l'atmosphère en 2050 sera de 10 Gppm"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Conclusion"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"La droite que nous avons pris pour faire nos prédictions se trouve sous les mesures réelles. Cela signifie que la réalité pourrait être encore pire dans le future. Cependant, notre prédiction présentée ici est plein de biais : le plus important reste sans doute qu'il s'appuie sur un modèle linéaire."
]
}
],
"metadata": {
"celltoolbar": "Aucun(e)",
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "Python 3",
"language": "python",
"name": "python3"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
"name": "ipython",
"version": 3
},
"file_extension": ".py",
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.6.4"
}
},
"nbformat": 4,
"nbformat_minor": 2
}