diff --git a/src/Python3/challenger.ipynb b/src/Python3/challenger.ipynb index 7ad065e1b6c7363aac85c4c86fb37ec0e17dd22d..5562e299875b6e2067ac2fe79be1740fc5cebde9 100644 --- a/src/Python3/challenger.ipynb +++ b/src/Python3/challenger.ipynb @@ -577,7 +577,7 @@ "metadata": {}, "source": [ "The maximum likelyhood estimator of the intercept and of Temperature are thus $\\hat{\\alpha}=5.0849$ and $\\hat{\\beta}=-0.1156$. This **corresponds** to the values from the article of Dalal et al. The standard errors are $s_{\\hat{\\alpha}} = 7.477$ and $s_{\\hat{\\beta}} = 0.115$, which is **different** from the $3.052$ and $0.04702$ reported by Dallal et al. The deviance is $3.01444$ with 21 degrees of freedom. I cannot find any value similar to the Goodness of fit ($G^2=18.086$) reported by Dalal et al.\n", - "**I have therefore managed to partially replicate the results of the Dalal et. al. article**." + "**I have therefore managed to partially replicate the results of the Dalal et al. article**." ] }, { diff --git a/src/R/challenger.Rmd b/src/R/challenger.Rmd index 751735abb992cd9e7ffa45392e0c9f46c7d5d865..49be3ee61a9ce4f23d5aebcd2746e485a8703fd1 100644 --- a/src/R/challenger.Rmd +++ b/src/R/challenger.Rmd @@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ logistic_reg = glm(data=data, Malfunction/Count ~ Temperature, weights=Count, summary(logistic_reg) ``` -The maximum likelyhood estimator of the intercept and of Temperature are thus $\hat{\alpha}=5.0849$ and $\hat{\beta}=-0.1156$ and their standard errors are $s_{\hat{\alpha}} = 3.052$ and $s_{\hat{\beta}} = 0.04702$. The Residual deviance corresponds to the Goodness of fit $G^2=18.086$ with 21 degrees of freedom. **I have therefore managed to replicate the results of the Dalal et. al. article**. +The maximum likelyhood estimator of the intercept and of Temperature are thus $\hat{\alpha}=5.0849$ and $\hat{\beta}=-0.1156$ and their standard errors are $s_{\hat{\alpha}} = 3.052$ and $s_{\hat{\beta}} = 0.04702$. The Residual deviance corresponds to the Goodness of fit $G^2=18.086$ with 21 degrees of freedom. **I have therefore managed to replicate the results of the Dalal et al. article**. # Predicting failure probability The temperature when launching the shuttle was 31°F. Let's try to